Bernie Wins Wisconsin, Clinton's Downfall, Nevada Changes, DOJ in Arizona

2016 Primary/Caucus Election Results Based on Percentage
(Superdelegates and Arizona not included)

As many of you know, Bernie Sanders was recently declared the winner of Wisconsin last night with a margin close to 14% over Hillary Clinton. To many, this wasn't surprising as even Hillary Clinton was reported to be the only candidate not even in the state on primary day. Nonetheless though, the surprising part was by how much. Many have predicted that Sanders was going to win but only by a few percentage. The outcome proved to be a sign of not to take polls prior to elect day so seriously, especially after the wide margins he has won in Alaska, Hawaii, Washington, Utah, and Idaho.

Speaking of those states, however, the win in Wisconsin is the 6th state in a row in which Bernie Sanders has won. So much so that even the Mainstream Media (MSM) have come out saying that he has the momentum right now going into both Wyoming and New York. However, MSM is downplaying Sanders' wins with headlines like, "Bernie Sanders Wins Wisconsin, Changes Nothing." Even though they say that, the win does open up states that normally don't typically matter to states that matter significantly (New York, Connecticut, Delaware, Pennsylvania, and the list goes on.) It also lead to an important debate that is scheduled in New York days prior to the New York Primary, which has 247 delegates up for grabs. Although Bernie Sanders is trailing in recent polls to Hillary Clinton in New York, he is quickly catching up.

Does this mean Hillary Clinton is on a downfall path? To put is simply, yes it does. Doing that map posted above has lead me to look at the difference in delegates between the two candidates. Plotting the data onto a chart, it shows that Hillary Clinton's lead in delegates has been shrinking since March 15, 2016. Although it does not look like much but the gap has shrunk by almost 100 delegates. Regardless of the candidate, loosing a gap of that much is quite significant, especially coming into states that are leaning towards Bernie Sanders more than they do towards Hillary Clinton.

Hillary Clinton's Lead Peaked on March 15, 2016

There are a couple of new details regarding two previous states, Nevada and Arizona.

All states have their own system in place to choose delegates and Nevada uses what appears to be a 3 day system. The first day is the general caucus where people vote for their candidate and elected county delegates. However, the delegates given to a candidate is proportional to the elected delegates. This is where the changeover has occurred in favor of Bernie Sanders. Over the weekend, Nevada held the Clark County Convention where those elected delegates were to meet. Unfortunately for Hillary Clinton, many of her elected delegates did not show, which automatically went to Bernie Sanders. After all is said and done, they now go to the State Convention where the number of delegates are finalized. Prior to the convention, Hilary Clinton was leading Bernie Sanders 20-15 delegates. After however, the lead shrunk to 18-17 delegates.

Now head next door and there is a completely different story entirely. Several weeks ago, I have said there were many problems in the Arizona Primary including long lines, lack of polling locations, and voters having their status changed. Well, as the state certifies their delegates, there is now an official investigation regarding voter suppression by the Department of Justice. Although there is limited information regarding the details of the investigation, it has been publicly announced that the DOJ wants to know the reasoning for having so little polling locations in a high density area. There have also been some news stating the DOJ is also investigating why as many as 20,000 (estimated count) had their registration status change without their knowledge.